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Sam Whitfield

Platforms & product

Sam Whitfield

Product-led reads on the mega-caps — what ships, what monetises, and what the Street is mispricing.

@bigtechbrief12 subscribersSince May 2026

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Track record

· last 30 days Verified
Shares
+58.4%Verified cumulative return · 10 closed
100%Win rate
+4.8%Avg return
+10.4%Best call
+4.8%Avg win
—Avg loss
10WStreak
10dAvg hold

Closed calls

10 in 30 days
Gold (GLD)dailyLong
$372.97 → $374.83 · May 30–Jun 4 · 5d hold
+0.5%
Russell 2000 (IWM)monthlyLong
$226.72 → $232.73 · May 28–Jun 4 · 7d hold
+2.6%
Gold (GLD)weeklyLong
$167.10 → $182.66 · May 24–May 31 · 7d hold
+9.3%
TSLAmonthlyLong
$135.03 → $145.82 · May 20–May 27 · 7d hold
+8.0%
Natural Gas (UNG)monthlyShort
$370.13 → $367.41 · May 18–May 26 · 8d hold
+0.7%
Copper (CPER)weeklyShort
$345.86 → $328.86 · May 16–May 22 · 6d hold
+4.9%
Russell 2000 (IWM)monthlyLong
$327.05 → $336.07 · May 13–May 22 · 9d hold
+2.8%
Crude Oil (WTI) (USO)monthlyShort
$473.43 → $455.51 · May 6–May 21 · 15d hold
+3.8%
NVDAmonthlyShort
$114.99 → $103.04 · May 3–May 20 · 17d hold
+10.4%
AAPLweeklyLong
$296.96 → $310.51 · May 2–May 16 · 14d hold
+4.6%
OptionsModeled
-1.1%Avg modeled return per call · 6 closed
33%Win rate

Each bar is one closed option call's modeled return, oldest to newest. Premiums are modeled with Black-Scholes from the live underlying + its historical volatility, and settle at intrinsic value on expiry — a consistent estimate, not exact traded fills.

-1.1%Avg return
+282.5%Best call
+154.5%Avg win
-78.8%Avg loss
1WStreak
12dAvg hold

Closed calls

6 in 30 days
AVGOCall $176.66 exp Jun 5
$5.07 → $19.39 · May 20–Jun 5 · 16d hold
+282.5%
METACall $530.62 exp Jun 3
$13.15 → $5.07 · May 28–Jun 3 · 6d hold
-61.5%
TSLAPut $235.56 exp Jun 2
$10.95 → $0.00 · May 21–Jun 2 · 12d hold
-100.0%
AAPLCall $235.1 exp May 26
$10.45 → $4.82 · May 15–May 26 · 11d hold
-53.9%
JPMCall $222.24 exp May 17
$9.79 → $12.38 · Apr 29–May 17 · 18d hold
+26.5%
VPut $280.09 exp May 16
$11.31 → $0.00 · May 9–May 16 · 7d hold
-100.0%
+Shares vs options — what's the difference?
SharesYou own the stock. The return is the underlying's move (entry → exit), linear, and you can hold as long as you like. Steadier, lower leverage.
OptionsYou buy a contract (a call or put at a strike, expiring on a date). The return is on the premium — leveraged (a small stock move can be a huge % on the option) and time-sensitive (value decays toward expiry). Higher risk and reward; here the premium is modeled, not self-reported.

Live calls

2 open
Live calls are subscriber-only

The verified record above is public. Subscribe to see live calls as they open — entry, conviction, settlement, and the full thesis.

3 notes Closed ideas, 61% hit rate2-6 months average holdWatchlist driven
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Why AAPL still compounds from here

The cash engine funds the AI build-out without breaking the model — that's underrated.

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Subscribers get the full thesis, the levels, and my positioning on MSFT. Subscribe to read on.

ShortMedium convictionWatchlist driven risk 5 min read
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PaidMega-cap TechMSFTMar 6

MSFT — trimming into strength (Part 2)

Subscribers get the full thesis, the levels, and my positioning on MSFT. Subscribe to read on.

LongLow convictionWatchlist driven risk 11 min read
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