FreeSoftware & SaaSDDOG9 min read
The DDOG cohort data nobody cites
DDOG chart · D
The thesis
Durable growth plus FCF margin is a profile the market still discounts.
Net revenue retention is basing, and that's the variable that re-rates the stock.
What I'm watching
- FCF margin trajectory
- billings vs revenue spread
- A clean move through the level I flag below
Positioning
Short on DDOG, 6-36 months horizon. Conviction: Medium. Multiples are sentiment-sensitive here — defined risk only.
Opinion, not investment advice. The author may or may not hold positions discussed.
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